Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.266703 0.308474 0.355975 0.414269 0.484253 0.566036 0.669519
2025-10-19 0.203828 0.257902 0.326421 0.420843 0.549518 0.721613 0.974120
2025-10-26 0.170089 0.229520 0.311002 0.433518 0.617781 0.892571 1.349314
2025-11-02 0.145432 0.206152 0.294642 0.437232 0.669634 1.049405 1.753069
2025-11-09 0.126831 0.187148 0.279579 0.437438 0.713107 1.201363 2.199946
2025-11-16 0.111847 0.170703 0.264824 0.433839 0.747453 1.344638 2.682971
2025-11-23 0.099277 0.155962 0.250008 0.426472 0.772081 1.474952 3.190506
2025-11-30 0.092084 0.148883 0.246656 0.438483 0.835726 1.701556 4.019271
2025-12-07 0.083156 0.137580 0.234090 0.430461 0.856337 1.840456 4.694167
2025-12-14 0.076988 0.130310 0.227701 0.433256 0.900544 2.047869 5.670237
2025-12-21 0.071287 0.123166 0.220495 0.432935 0.937477 2.249360 6.747343
2025-12-28 0.067752 0.119602 0.219661 0.446005 1.009531 2.569872 8.440400
2026-01-04 0.063999 0.115292 0.216961 0.454956 1.075278 2.903109 10.461569
2026-01-11 0.060458 0.111017 0.213805 0.462442 1.139971 3.262905 12.926778
2026-01-18 0.057825 0.108255 0.213457 0.476651 1.227800 3.739742 16.438581
2026-01-25 0.054657 0.104042 0.209388 0.480813 1.287815 4.149545 20.095726
2026-02-01 0.051519 0.099564 0.204159 0.481045 1.336259 4.542045 24.181415
2026-02-08 0.048402 0.094820 0.197748 0.477016 1.370347 4.897165 28.561049
2026-02-15 0.045317 0.089858 0.190257 0.468772 1.388500 5.197189 33.048779
2026-02-22 0.043788 0.088185 0.190398 0.482215 1.486942 5.921087 42.413218
2026-03-01 0.041134 0.083736 0.183271 0.473236 1.501566 6.252766 48.937746
2026-03-08 0.039336 0.081086 0.180324 0.476364 1.563775 6.873213 60.050347
2026-03-15 0.037502 0.078193 0.176444 0.476004 1.612820 7.460140 72.553831